Bemerton Heath vs AFC Portchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bemerton Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
BEM
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
3 - 0
POR
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEM
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
4 - 0
LAV
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
BEM
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Portchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 3
AFC
19%
19%
63%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
BMR
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 1
AFC
11%
15%
74%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |