Belluno vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 1
TRI
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIG
2 - 1
BEL
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
CNO
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 0
BEL
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
AVI
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
CNO
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 3
MES
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
AVI
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UAR
1 - 1
MES
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
UNI
80%
12%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |