Bellcaire 2012 vs Gualta A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 3
SAG
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
5 - 3
SPA
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 7
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 3
FLA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VER
3 - 1
BEL
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gualta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
JAF
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 0
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCO
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
QUA
1 - 1
GUA
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAC
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |