Bellavista Milán vs Castellterçol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellavista Milán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
BVM
77%
13%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BVM
4 - 0
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USP
6 - 3
BVM
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BVM
0 - 2
CAR
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LLE
4 - 3
BVM
81%
11%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castellterçol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 0
CAS
87%
10%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
USC
18%
20%
61%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MNO
3 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
MON
22%
20%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |