Bella Vista Bahia Blanca vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 4
GUT
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
DVP
1 - 1
BVI
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
RAO
3 - 1
BVI
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 2
BVI
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
BVI
4 - 1
CDC
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
1 - 1
CSM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 2
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
ALV
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUT
0 - 1
ALV
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |