Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
29%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
GOD
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
MIT
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 0
BEL
49%
28%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLO
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
LAN
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
3 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
DYJ
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 0
SAR
50%
27%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |