Belgrano II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
BEL
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
GLP
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 2
BEL
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOC
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |