Belgrano II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATR
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
GLP
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 2
BEL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOC
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ABR
0 - 0
VEL
10%
18%
73%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
ARS
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 0
VEL
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |