Belgrano II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAN
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
GLP
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
SAR
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |