Belgrano II vs Quilmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GOC
4 - 2
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
BEL
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 1
LAN
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 3
OLI
66%
20%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
QUI
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
IND
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |