Belgrano II vs Quilmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
4 - 0
BEL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 3
BEL
21%
23%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
GLP
1 - 2
QUI
69%
18%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 4
SLO
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |