Copa de la Superliga Reservas 1/16
Global 3-2
Belgrano II vs Gimnasia La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
GLP
1 - 1
BEL
27%
26%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
GOC
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 3
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
5 - 3
BEL
43%
25%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BEL
4 - 0
PAT
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
GLP
1 - 1
BEL
27%
26%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 0
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SLO
3 - 0
GLP
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 0
NOB
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
GLP
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |