Belfort vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
PDC
66%
24%
11%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
CAB
25%
29%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
CON
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
USB
1 - 1
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 3
USB
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
9 - 0
DRA
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
AVR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 2
LES
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 2
AVR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |