Beira-Mar Almada vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira-Mar Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 1
BMA
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BMA
2 - 0
ARR
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 0
BMA
44%
23%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BMA
0 - 2
AMO
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SES
4 - 3
BMA
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 3
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
MCA
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 2
MCA
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
3 - 0
ARR
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 1
MCA
12%
18%
69%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |