Begur vs Tossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 0
BEG
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BEG
2 - 1
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LMA
0 - 3
BEG
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEG
3 - 1
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BRD
1 - 3
BEG
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOS
1 - 0
CAG
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 4
TOS
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 0
LLO
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOS
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOS
7 - 0
TOR
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |