Begur vs Caldes Montbui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BSC
4 - 3
BEG
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOS
2 - 0
BEG
71%
16%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
ARG
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
5 - 0
BEG
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caldes Montbui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CMB
0 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
CMB
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMB
0 - 0
MON
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CMB
1 - 2
MAN
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CGI
3 - 2
CMB
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |