Begur vs Cal Aguido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LLO
3 - 1
BEG
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BEG
1 - 2
TOR
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
BEG
55%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BEG
2 - 0
CAL
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BEG
3 - 2
CRI
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cal Aguido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAG
0 - 2
ARB
52%
20%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 3
CAG
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAG
3 - 0
LMA
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAG
46%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BRD
2 - 4
CAG
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |