Begur vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEG
4 - 2
BOR
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RSS
6 - 1
BEG
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BEG
3 - 0
NAV
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CIS
1 - 1
BEG
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BEG
6 - 2
CIS
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 2
VSA
67%
17%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TRL
2 - 0
BEL
66%
18%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAT
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
BEL
24%
22%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 2
VLM
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |