Becerril vs Velilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
UXA
1 - 0
BEC
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAJ
1 - 2
BEC
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEC
1 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CUE
3 - 0
BEC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEC
3 - 2
SEG
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 2
SAJ
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 1
VEL
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 4
CUE
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
0 - 2
VEL
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 2
SAL
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |