Beaumaris vs Essendon Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaumaris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GEE
3 - 1
BSC
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 0
FSC
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ESR
0 - 2
NSE
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ESR
3 - 0
PLI
11%
21%
68%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
KIN
3 - 2
ESR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
WES
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 0
ESR
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |