Besancon RC vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
3º
37
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BRC
4 - 0
SAR
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
BRC
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
BRC
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
STR
3 - 0
SOC
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
JUR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
STR
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 2
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
RAO
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |