Besancon RC vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
3º
22
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 4
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
BRC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 1
BOB
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 2
THL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RAO
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 1
STR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |