Besancon RC vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis

Besancon RC Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
39 ELO 47
-7.9% Tilt -4.4%
5213º General ELO ranking 4494º
110º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Besancon RC
27.1%
Draw
45.1%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Besancon RC
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.1%
Win probability
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Besancon RC
-9%
+20%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur

Points and table prediction

Besancon RC
Their league position
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
16º
34
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Épinal
57
60
91%
US Fleury-Merogis
55
56
91%
FC 93
52
55
100%
Furiani Agliani
45
48
75%
Creteil
43
46
46%
Besancon RC
40
43
0%
Colmar
43
43
38.5%
ES Wasquehal
38
42
28%
US Boulogne
39
40
76%
FCSR Haguenau
10º
37
37
10º
59%
Olympique St Quentin
12º
35
36
11º
52%
St Geneviève
11º
35
35
12º
73.5%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
13º
34
34
13º
56%
Belfort
14º
31
32
14º
49.5%
Metz II
15º
31
32
15º
65%
Stade de Reims II
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Besancon RC
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 6.5%
Relegation
0% 93.5%

ELO progression

Besancon RC
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Besancon RC
Besancon RC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
BOB
FC 93
3 - 2
Besancon RC
BRC
82%
13%
5%
39 57 18 0
04 Feb. 2023
BRC
Besancon RC
1 - 0
Belfort
BEL
22%
25%
53%
37 47 10 +2
21 Jan. 2023
MET
Metz II
2 - 1
Besancon RC
BRC
60%
23%
18%
37 43 6 0
14 Jan. 2023
BRC
Besancon RC
1 - 2
FCSR Haguenau
FCS
32%
25%
43%
38 42 4 -1
16 Dec. 2022
USB
US Boulogne
0 - 1
Besancon RC
BRC
69%
20%
11%
37 50 13 +1

Matches

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1 - 1
Olympique St Quentin
OLY
65%
21%
14%
48 39 9 0
04 Feb. 2023
ESW
ES Wasquehal
1 - 3
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
33%
28%
39%
47 40 7 +1
21 Jan. 2023
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1 - 1
Colmar
COL
28%
25%
47%
46 52 6 +1
14 Jan. 2023
FUR
Furiani Agliani
3 - 0
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
50%
26%
24%
48 49 1 -2
17 Dec. 2022
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1 - 4
St Geneviève
STG
54%
25%
21%
49 47 2 -1