Beasain KE vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 2
BEA
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
BEA
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BEA
4 - 1
ELG
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEA
35%
26%
38%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BEA
2 - 1
LAU
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
GER
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
LAU
32%
29%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
GER
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
LON
63%
23%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |