Bearsted vs Rusthall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bearsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
BEA
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
WHI
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 6
BEA
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WET
2 - 5
BEA
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
LTF
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rusthall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RUS
0 - 0
GLE
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RUS
1 - 2
FIS
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SUA
1 - 1
RUS
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RUS
1 - 2
FAV
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
STF
1 - 0
RUS
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |