Beaconsfield vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 5
TIV
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 0
BEA
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 2
WIM
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 2
BEA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 2
FAR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MER
0 - 3
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MER
5 - 0
SAL
12%
17%
72%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 1
MER
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
MER
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
GOS
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |