Beaconsfield vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 2
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
BEA
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BEA
2 - 0
BLA
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 0
HEM
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
BEA
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
BLA
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
WIM
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MER
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WES
2 - 1
MER
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |