Beaconsfield vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 2
POO
34%
22%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 3
HAR
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
BEA
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 2
BEA
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
WHI
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
4 - 4
PLY
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAT
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAT
2 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |