Beaconsfield vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
BEA
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BEA
0 - 2
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 4
RUG
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BEA
0 - 2
STI
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
BEA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
AYL
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 3
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AYL
0 - 3
ROY
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
AYL
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 3
AYL
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |