Beaconsfield vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 2
ARL
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SOH
2 - 3
BEA
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BUR
5 - 1
BEA
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 4
CHE
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
YEL
0 - 2
BEA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BRO
5 - 0
AYL
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AYL
2 - 5
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AYL
3 - 4
ATH
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
AYL
23%
24%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 4
SOH
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |