Beaconsfield vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2004 |
BEA
4 - 0
BER
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 0
BEA
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ERI
3 - 1
BEA
29%
25%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BEA
2 - 2
WIV
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
UXB
5 - 0
ARL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ARL
1 - 2
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ARL
2 - 3
WIN
45%
24%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SIT
0 - 0
ARL
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |