BEA Mountain vs Mighty Barolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
2º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BEA Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NIM
0 - 2
BEA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
NKW
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
BEA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 0
LIS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
5 - 1
PYC
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mighty Barolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MBA
2 - 4
WAT
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MBA
0 - 0
CCE
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 2
MBA
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MBA
5 - 0
HEF
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |