Be1 NFA vs FK Jonava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
16º
10º
18
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Be1 NFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
4 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
ZAL
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
2 - 1
BEN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 1
FKT
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRA
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 1
BFA
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 0
LIE
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
ATM
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SKL
1 - 5
LIE
9%
12%
79%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 4
LIE
8%
12%
80%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |