Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
16º
10º
17
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Be1 NFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
BFA
3 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 1
FKE
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 4
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 3
NEV
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
BEN
6%
13%
81%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 0
FKK
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
5 - 2
SIA
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |