BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs SF Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HBE
4 - 0
BGP
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HEW
1 - 0
BGP
33%
22%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BGP
2 - 1
ALE
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BGP
0 - 4
SCB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 0
BGP
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SF Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SFD
1 - 5
ALE
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SCB
5 - 0
SFD
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SFD
4 - 4
NIE
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SFD
0 - 1
IHN
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VFL
3 - 6
SFD
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +2 |