BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
16º
11º
32
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 5
VFL
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
BGP
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 1
VIA
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
H05
3 - 1
BGP
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 0
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
BER
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VFL
4 - 1
SCF
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
SPF
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 1
SCF
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |