BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BGP
4 - 2
SVD
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DUR
3 - 0
BGP
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VFL
0 - 2
BGP
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
WEG
0 - 1
BGP
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
USC
0 - 3
BGP
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SCF
0 - 2
DUR
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SCF
4 - 2
VFL
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
H05
3 - 2
SCF
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SCF
3 - 5
MER
53%
20%
26%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SCF
3 - 2
EIL
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |