BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs 1. FC Düren II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
HEW
0 - 3
BGP
68%
17%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GET
3 - 1
BGP
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BGP
5 - 0
HBE
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HEW
4 - 1
BGP
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Düren II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
USC
4 - 2
FCD
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GWB
2 - 0
FCD
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCD
3 - 2
NIE
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |