Baztan vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDB
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 1
CAN
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 1
CDB
73%
19%
9%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 1
HUA
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
OBE
2 - 0
CDB
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 1
SJU
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 2
HUA
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 4
UDM
18%
23%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDB
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 3
UDM
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |