Baztan vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 2
INJ
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 1
INF
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 3
CDB
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 3
IDO
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
CDB
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
AOI
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
CDC
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
INJ
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INF
0 - 0
CDC
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |