Baza vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 0
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
BET
0 - 0
BAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
BAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 2
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |