Baza vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 3
BAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAZ
0 - 1
ECI
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 1
BAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 1
GRA
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
BAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RJA
2 - 2
CAR
35%
30%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 1
ECI
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 2
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |