Baza vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 1
BAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ECI
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 1
BAZ
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
BAZ
0 - 1
AGU
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EXT
2 - 2
BAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 1
RJA
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RJA
3 - 0
VVA
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ECI
0 - 0
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 1
RJA
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |