Baza vs Celtic Pulianas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CDV
3 - 0
BAZ
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAZ
3 - 1
VAN
78%
16%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 0
BAZ
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAZ
2 - 3
HUE
40%
27%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
MOL
1 - 1
BAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic Pulianas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
MON
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 3
PAV
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
3 - 0
CEL
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
ALQ
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |