Baza vs CD Oriente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 2
BAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAZ
2 - 1
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
BAZ
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAZ
1 - 2
VAN
35%
26%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDU
4 - 0
BAZ
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Oriente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 4
CAÑ
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROQ
3 - 3
ORI
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CUL
2 - 1
ORI
48%
24%
29%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
7 - 1
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BER
2 - 3
ORI
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |