Bayreuth SpVgg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
0 - 0
BAY
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
TSV
3 - 2
BAY
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BAY
0 - 2
186
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
UNT
3 - 1
BAY
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 0
LAN
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WUR
1 - 4
ISM
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
WUR
1 - 1
MEM
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 1
WUR
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
WUR
0 - 1
TSV
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
186
3 - 0
WUR
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |