Bayreuth SpVgg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Viktoria Aschaffenburg
61 ELO 50
4% Tilt 1.3%
2695º General ELO ranking 4022º
114º Country ELO ranking 175º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20.3%
Draw
14.4%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.4%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-16%
+7%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Points and table prediction

Bayreuth SpVgg
Their league position
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
37
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schweinfurt
68
68
100%
Buchbach
59
59
100%
Würzburger Kickers
57
57
100%
Bayern München II
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
56
56
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
55
55
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
52
52
0%
Vilzing
52
52
0%
Illertissen
51
51
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Nürnberg II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
FC Augsburg II
12º
42
42
12º
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
14º
40
40
13º
63.5%
Aubstadt
13º
40
40
14º
63.5%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
15º
37
38
15º
63.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Türkgücü München
18º
22
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayreuth SpVgg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 36.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 63.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
43%
23%
34%
60 59 1 0
15 Feb. 2025
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 4
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
10%
18%
72%
60 39 21 0
12 Feb. 2025
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
11%
18%
71%
60 41 19 0
08 Feb. 2025
WEI
Weiden
0 - 4
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
15%
20%
66%
60 41 19 0
01 Feb. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
7 - 0
Eltersdorf
ELT
63%
20%
17%
60 52 8 0

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
SMA
Schott Mainz
3 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
70%
16%
14%
51 57 6 0
08 Feb. 2025
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
4 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
65%
20%
15%
51 62 11 0
02 Feb. 2025
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
31%
24%
45%
51 47 4 0
28 Jan. 2025
RWW
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
4 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
31%
23%
46%
51 44 7 0
25 Jan. 2025
FCE
FC Erlensee
0 - 4
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
13%
19%
68%
51 29 22 0