Bayreuth SpVgg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
6 - 1
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 3
BAY
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
3 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAI
1 - 2
BAY
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 0
WAC
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 3
VIK
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIK
3 - 0
ILL
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 3
VIK
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 0
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 3
VIK
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |