Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
FSV
2 - 0
BAY
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
WAL
4 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
AUG
5 - 3
BAY
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
MUN
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 2
MUN
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
SSV
4 - 1
VFR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 1
HES
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 3
VFR
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
VFR
5 - 4
HEI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |