Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 1
BAY
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
4 - 2
186
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
4 - 2
BAY
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 0
CZJ
44%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 5
WAC
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 1
ING
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
UNT
5 - 1
VRG
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 2
BUC
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 5
186
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
VRG
20%
21%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |